When I first started delving into the issue of climate change about 20 years ago, the clarion call of the day was to reduce emissions …
Category: Scenarios
Are we now range bound on temperature?
In my last post I discussed the recent IEA 1.5°C Scenario that sets out what is required to reach net-zero emissions by 2050 and manage …
Pathways to 1.5°C
In 2018 when the IPCC released their Special Report on 1.5°C, they presented four archetype scenarios to help readers understand that there were fundamentally different …
Growing pressures
The task of getting to net-zero emissions by 2050 has become the rallying cry behind COP 26 and considerable diplomatic effort is now being applied …
The importance of sinks
A review of the 2018 IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C shows that all four archetype scenarios (P1, P2, P3 and P4) make use of sinks …
Exploring the energy future
Three scenarios, Waves, Islands and Sky 1.5 explore the energy landscape out to 2100 and reveal very different possible pathways forward. All three are transformational …
Accelerating the US energy transition
Today a new energy transition is gaining pace in the US, built on the back of the falling costs of wind, solar and batteries. But …
Electric vehicles and 2030
Over a decade ago in one of my very first posts in this blog, I responded to what appeared to be a working assumption in …
Cities and climate action
Cities may well be key to reaching the goals of the Paris Agreement and the Paris Metropole has an opportunity to lead climate action at …
A new goal for China
China has set the goal of being carbon neutral by 2060. What might the transition look like and what has to happen in the 2020s …
Shell Climate Change 