Today a new energy transition is gaining pace in the US, built on the back of the falling costs of wind, solar and batteries. But …
Category: Scenarios

Electric vehicles and 2030
Over a decade ago in one of my very first posts in this blog, I responded to what appeared to be a working assumption in …

Cities and climate action
Cities may well be key to reaching the goals of the Paris Agreement and the Paris Metropole has an opportunity to lead climate action at …

A new goal for China
China has set the goal of being carbon neutral by 2060. What might the transition look like and what has to happen in the 2020s …

Rethinking the 2020s
How might the 2020s unfold? Will we be blighted by COVID-19 for years to come? Or will the 2020s follow the pattern of the post-war, …

An Article 6 Case Study: Brazil
In a recent post I illustrated how Article 6 of the Paris Agreement might work in practice, using a small set of archetype countries as …

In the shadow of Apollo
The recent 50th anniversary of the first moon landing brought with it many calls for an “Apollo Project” approach to address climate change. Such an …

Is Direct Air Capture the future?
Almost all scenario thinking that relates to the goal of net-zero emissions during the second half of this century has to consider the role of …

Encouraging CCS Deployment
Recently I attended a workshop hosted by KAPSARC on the potential for a dedicated mechanism to spur the deployment of carbon capture and storage (CCS). Technology …

Digging deeper into the Sky scenario
About a year ago Shell released the Sky Scenario. Sky is designed to explore a challenging but technically possible pathway to achieving the objectives of …